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The degree to which growth in Europe slows, along with inflation developments, will be key in determining the path ahead for the European Central Bank.
The Federal Reserve offered little guidance on the outlook at its July meeting, striking a somewhat hawkish tone.
Fed Policymakers: Split Decision
We expect the Fed will resume gradual interest rate cuts later this year, depending on U.S. labor market trends.
PIMCO’s Sustainable Investing Report provides our latest thinking on sustainability. Here, we highlight the report's key takeaways, including how we are advancing our analytical capabilities.
Fed officials remain patient, likely awaiting hard evidence of a weaker U.S. labor market before considering rate cuts.
The Future of the GSEs: Do No Harm
A rushed exit from conservatorship could increase mortgage rates and worsen home affordability.
Sustainable adjustments to trade imbalances require supportive monetary and fiscal policies – not just currency intervention.
Challenges to Fed Independence
Although President Trump has said he has no intention of firing Fed Chair Powell, the Trump administration may be testing the laws underpinning Fed independence.
The outlook for U.S. growth and inflation hinges on the ability of U.S. supply chains to pivot out of China fairly quickly, a process that won’t be seamless.
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