Allison Boxer
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Fed Policymakers: Split Decision
We expect the Fed will resume gradual interest rate cuts later this year, depending on U.S. labor market trends.
Fed officials remain patient, likely awaiting hard evidence of a weaker U.S. labor market before considering rate cuts.
Mounting risks to growth and inflation have the Federal Reserve taking a cautious approach to monetary policy.
Fed Sees No Need to Hurry
Facing an uncertain outlook, the Federal Reserve holds rates steady and signals a watch-and-wait approach.
Macroeconomic uncertainties prompted the Federal Reserve to signal a slower pace of policy rate cuts in 2025 and beyond.
Recent economic data support the Federal Reserve’s meeting-by-meeting approach to rate cuts.
Starting With a Bang: Fed Cuts Policy Rate
We believe the Fed is on a path to continue to cut rates over the next several meetings to realign monetary policy with a now more “normal” U.S. economy.
The central bank’s latest policy statement and Chair Jerome Powell’s remarks suggest that an initial interest rate cut could come as soon as September.
A second straight month of encouraging U.S. core CPI data supports an initial Federal Reserve rate cut as early as September.