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Experts

Allison Boxer

Economist
Ms. Boxer is a senior vice president and economist in the New York office, focusing on the U.S. and Canada. She helps craft the firm’s economic and monetary policy outlook and contributes to quarterly economic forums. She is also a member of the research group of PIMCO’s Americas portfolio committee. She has nine years of investment experience and holds an undergraduate degree in economics from Tufts University.
Blog

The Federal Reserve sees progress on inflation, but wants more certainty before it’s prepared to lower the policy rate.

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The market anticipates a swift shift in the Fed cycle.

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U.S. inflation cooled more than expected, and bond markets rallied, but the Fed is likely to remain in a long pause.

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Tighter financial conditions prompted Federal Reserve officials to take a step back from data dependence, and suggest a higher bar for future hikes.

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The latest inflation report raises the odds of further Federal Reserve action.

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The Federal Reserve forecasts only a modest uptick in U.S. unemployment next year as inflation cools, but history and current labor market trends make us less certain.

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Amid an outlook for slower growth and more moderate inflation, the Fed shifts to data dependence.

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After stubborn U.S. inflation in the first half of 2023 kept the Federal Reserve raising rates, June’s softer inflation report suggests July may mark the end of the hiking cycle.

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The Federal Reserve paused in June but raised its estimates for the policy rate later this year. We expect a July increase but remain skeptical about subsequent hikes.

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