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Economic and Market Commentary

Spreads May Be Converging Across Public and Private Markets, But Liquidity Is Not

Efforts to make private credit tradable face obstacles and risk undermining one of the main reasons – earning an illiquidity premium – that investors look to private assets.
Spreads May Be Converging Across Public and Private Markets, But Liquidity Is Not
Spreads May Be Converging Across Public and Private Markets, But Liquidity Is Not
Headshot of Lotfi Karoui

Proposals to engineer secondary trading in private assets, often championed by vocal critics of public market liquidity, have gained renewed momentum. For some, enhanced tradability is viewed as a remedy to growing unease over the absence of transparent, real‑time valuation signals in private portfolios. For others, secondary trading is presented as a way to mitigate “jump risk” in direct lending credit portfolios, where loans are commonly carried at par until fundamentals deteriorate and repricing becomes unavoidable.

This debate is unfolding against a notable backdrop. Public credit market liquidity today is as strong as at any point since the global financial crisis, while spreads between less liquid direct lending and more liquid public credit have compressed materially in recent years.

For investors, this raises a fundamental question: Am I being adequately compensated for the illiquidity I am assuming in private markets? In our view, the answer is often no, particularly in corporate credit. The promise of greater secondary liquidity in private assets is, in some cases, being used to justify a meaningful erosion of the illiquidity premium in direct lending relative to public markets, rather than to genuinely improve investor outcomes.

More structurally, we see several key obstacles to creating meaningful liquidity in private credit:

  1. Permissioned transfer of loans: Unlike public markets, many private credit documents require borrowers to consent to any sale or transfer of their loan from the lender(s) of record.
  2. Information asymmetry: In private credit, buyers often lack access to credit agreements, amendment details, collateral packages, or standardized financial documents. This information has been paramount to building confidence and liquidity in public markets and is completely ad hoc in today’s private credit market.
  3. Confidentiality: Nondisclosure agreements are often required for any information to be shared with potential loan purchasers, adding to the information asymmetry.
  4. Lack of trading infrastructure: Private credit markets lack centralized reporting, execution, or settlement infrastructure, all details that have become integral to the build-out of robust liquidity in public markets. While public markets and 144A private placement deals can trade seamlessly, many private investment grade and direct lending deals have the additional challenges of physical settlement, which can be onerous for both buyers and sellers.
  5. Incentives: Not all private market participants have the same desire for an increase in liquidity. Some prefer the opacity in private markets, while others want to avoid mark-to-market volatility that more often aligns with public markets.

Even if some of these obstacles are addressed, private markets exist precisely because many assets are idiosyncratic and negotiated, making continuous price discovery difficult and often economically inefficient. Attempts to force liquidity into these markets tend to produce thin trading, wide bid‑ask spreads, and unreliable price signals. Rather than improving transparency, sporadic secondary trades often introduce noise, reflecting liquidity needs rather than underlying fundamentals.

Figure 1: Liquid markets for 144A private placements

Source: U.S. Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA) data, PIMCO calculations as of 28 February 2026

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