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The Role of Securitised Credit in Investment Portfolios

The Role of Securitised Credit in Investment Portfolios
The Role of Securitised Credit in Investment Portfolios

Learning outcomes:

  • Understand the role securitised credit can play in portfolios.
  • Evaluate risk factors across different securitisation types.
  • Identify the primary drivers of performance across market cycles.
The Role of Securitised Credit in Investment Portfolios

Source: PIMCO. For illustrative purposes only.

Mortgage-backed securities (MBS)

Commonly issued as 30-year fixed-rate securities, agency MBS are particularly sensitive to interest rate cycles. Falling rates tend to increase refinancing activity and prepayment risk, while rising rates generally slow prepayments.

Non-agency MBS performance is driven primarily by housing market conditions. During housing market downturns, junior and lower quality tranches are most exposed to losses, while senior tranches typically demonstrate greater resilience. In stable housing environments, senior tranches tend to offer lower but more predictable returns.

Commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS)

CMBS performance is influenced by commercial real estate cycles. Economic slowdowns can lead to higher vacancy rates and weaker cash flows, affecting junior tranches first. Senior tranches are generally well protected, except during severe and prolonged market dislocations. Prepayment risk is often lower for CMBS than for RMBS due to contractual prepayment penalties.

Asset-backed securities (ABS)

ABS performance is closely linked to consumer credit cycles. During recessions, rising unemployment and income stress can increase default rates, while stable economic conditions typically support steady cash flows and low default rates.

Collateralised loan obligations (CLOs)

CLO performance is driven primarily by corporate credit conditions. Periods of credit stress can increase loan defaults, with equity and mezzanine tranches absorbing losses first. Given the floating‑rate nature of the underlying loans, interest rate risk is generally limited, making credit quality the dominant risk factor.

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