Featured Solutions Money Market Reform: DC Plans Adapt to Sweeping Change The SEC’s sweeping changes will likely make money market funds less risky – but far less attractive – to participants in defined contribution plans.
Money market reform has arrived. The SEC’s sweeping changes, along with technical and macroeconomic factors, will likely make money market funds (MMFs) safer – if far less attractive – to defined contribution (DC) plan participants. The SEC reforms, set to take effect on 14 October 2016, transform key elements that have made MMFs popular since their introduction in the U.S. in 1971. The new rules impose potential liquidity fees and gates on many MMFs and require institutional prime funds to move from fixed to variable net asset values (NAVs). These changes are a response to the events of September 2008, when the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers forced the Reserve Primary Fund, the oldest money market fund, to “break the buck” by pricing its shares at 97 cents. DC consultants have recognized that the reforms mark a sea change in an asset class that has been a staple of DC plans. In PIMCO’s 10th Annual 2016 DC Consulting Support and Trends Survey, which captures opinions from 66 U.S. consulting firms that serve over 11,000 clients with DC assets in excess of $4.2 trillion, 95% of consultants said they were somewhat likely, likely or very likely to recommend switching from a money market fund to stable value; 49% had similar views about switching to ultra-short bond funds. The capital preservation space is not as simple as it once was and optimal solutions change. PIMCO believes it appropriate for plan sponsors to make periodic reviews of their capital preservation offerings. Capital preservation and DC PIMCO believes that capital preservation strategies – along with global fixed income, inflation-hedging options and global equities – are one of four key pillars of a DC plan’s core investment lineup. Each contributes to ensuring a balanced selection of diversifying asset classes (see Figure 1). Capital preservation strategies seek to preserve invested principal, generate income, provide a liquid, low-risk investment during volatile markets or offset riskier investments in a portfolio. In our view, a successful capital preservation option should meet these conditions: Liquidity: A significant portion of invested principal can be easily sold or converted into cash under most market conditions without significantly changing the value of the investment. Low risk: The value of invested principal should be reasonably assured over an appropriate time horizon as determined by the sponsor – daily, monthly or quarterly. Real return: Investments should seek to generate real returns, or returns over inflation, to help participants maintain and potentially grow the purchasing power of their retirement assets. However, market dynamics over the past decade – including compressed short-term bond yields and changing supply and demand dynamics – have affected many plans’ capital preservation option. Post-reform realignment The new regulations result in prime institutional MMFs implementing a floating NAV while prime retail MMFs maintain a stable NAV; however, both are subject to potential liquidity fees and redemption gates. Government MMFs, meanwhile, retain a stable NAV and are not subject to liquidity fees or redemption gates. In anticipation of the new regulations, many MMF fund complexes have transitioned much of their prime MMF offerings to government MMFs in recognition of the market’s preference for a $1.00 NAV product without fees and gate complications. (This includes PIMCO, which merged its prime MMF offering into the PIMCO Government Money Market Fund, managed by Jerome Schneider, whom Morningstar named its 2015 Fixed-Income Manager of the Year.) Moreover, the SEC changes imposed significant changes to structural and operational aspects of MMFs, which created challenges for DC recordkeepers, custodians and trustees. Government MMFs have become DC trustees’ preferred MMF solution because these funds are managed to a fixed $1.00 NAV while remaining exempt from mandatory fees and gates, reducing their operational challenges. The result: Over the past 18 months, many plan sponsors that used prime MMFs received negative consent letters from their service providers; these gave notice that the plan’s capital preservation option had changed from a prime MMF to a government MMF. In our view, the material SEC reforms and the dramatic realignment of the MMF industry is a prompt to DC sponsors to scrutinize their use of MMFs. This may be particularly urgent given the recent rise in DC-related litigation. Do MMFs deliver for DC? In recent years, MMFs have failed to deliver real returns, one of three objectives of any capital preservation strategy. While nominal yields have recently budged from zero, real yields remain negative. And with the SEC reforms further constraining MMFs’ already conservative investment guidelines, future return opportunities may be reduced. So, with expected returns low, even recent mild inflation can cause negative real returns that will lead over time to an erosion of a participant’s purchasing power. Lost purchasing power could possibly be made up through higher returns in riskier investments, or the participant could endure a lower standard of living in retirement. Neither are particularly attractive options. And the alternatives are? If a sponsor has decided to consider a different capital preservation option, or just wants to review the alternatives, we see three reasonable choices, with suitability depending on the unique needs and characteristics of the plan and the investment requirements and sophistication of its participants: First, consider stable value. Stable value has been used in DC plans for more than three decades. These strategies are designed to provide participants with money market fund-like volatility, while seeking to deliver returns similar to intermediate-maturity bonds over time. Having managed stable value since 1992, PIMCO stands ready to share its expertise. However, we also understand that stable value may not be the optimal solution for every plan. Among other issues, there are unique risks, costs and contractual obligations associated with stable value wrap contracts. Nonetheless, stable value remains exceedingly popular: In 2014, it was offered by over 62% of all DC plans, up three percentage points over the previous year, according to the Plan Sponsor Council of America’s 58th Annual Survey of Profit Sharing and 401(k) Plans. Moreover, while stable value strategies returned 1.95% annualized over the five years ending 30 June 2016 (as represented by the Hueler Analytics Stable Value Index), the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics’ Consumer Price Index rose 1.32% during the period. So, stable value has protected purchasing power far better than the Lipper Money Market Index, which returned a nominal 0.02% over the same period. Second, consider a short-duration bond option. Although some sponsors are reluctant to include a variable NAV strategy as a capital preservation option, ERISA section 404(c) does not expressly require a plan to offer a $1.00 NAV option. However, there is a caveat: Sponsors should carefully select a fund specifically designed to address the low volatility needs of plan participants. Typical “off-the-shelf” short-term bond funds, whether actively or passively managed, often have unattractive NAV volatility. In recent years, investors have focused on a variety of new approaches, which seek to provide capital preservation and low volatility. These new, “ultra-short” strategies generally invest in ways that are similar to MMFs with a minimal increase in risk and slightly more flexible investment guidelines designed to seek returns closer to inflation. Finally, consider creating a white label capital preservation option. Particularly for larger plans, a white label capital preservation option can optimize a blend of solutions – including short-duration bonds, stable value and even MMFs – and seek a customized level of expected risk and return. Here as well, PIMCO has long experience helping sponsors create custom options. Being proactive is a best practice As the capital preservation needs of every plan are unique, it’s possible that an MMF remains appropriate for a particular DC plan. However, DC plan sponsors who have previously made a decision to use MMFs as a capital preservation option should understand that the SEC’s reforms are material. Optimal solutions in the capital preservation space change. If a sponsor uses an MMF as the plan’s capital preservation option, the SEC’s reforms are a good catalyst to prudently review the rationale, especially as fiduciary risks have increased in recent years. In our view, sponsors should look beyond MMFs and consider alternatives that seek to deliver liquidity, limit risk to principal and help protect participants’ purchasing power into retirement.
Blog ECB: Eyeing a June Rate Cut While the European Central Bank refrained from declaring victory at its April meeting, a June rate cut seems increasingly likely.
Blog Persistent Inflation Pressures Could Delay Fed Action The March U.S. inflation report and other macro data will likely prompt a change in the Federal Reserve’s trajectory in 2024.
Cyclical outlook Diverging Markets, Diversified Portfolios With the paths of major economies poised to diverge, we believe it is critical to actively seek out investment opportunities globally.
Blog Shocking Bonds: Evaluating Advisor Fixed Income Portfolios as the Fed Enters Its Next Phase After two volatile years, we believe conditions are especially compelling for fixed income.
Blog One Hike, Three Hints, and a Surprise Rate Cut Recent signals from major central banks suggest challenges ahead with easing monetary policy amid above-target inflation.
Blog Fed Readies for Rate Cuts: Back Toward Neutral, or Mid‑Cycle Adjustment? Federal Reserve officials appear locked in for multiple rate cuts this year, despite inflation reaccelerating – raising questions about the speed and timing of this easing cycle.
Strategy Spotlight PIMCO Updates Its 2023 Glide Path for Target Date Funds Given significant valuation shifts in 2022, we’ve reduced equities in favor of high quality fixed income.
Featured Solutions Rethinking Retirement Spending Rules: A Market‑Based Approach Starting portfolio yields may be a better guide to optimal spending than knowledge of future market returns.
Strategy Spotlight DOL Tips for TDFs: 10 Years of Evolution and Innovation DOL tips have played an important role shaping the Defined Contributions industry over the last decade, and they will continue to influence the evolving landscape over the next decade.