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Financing an Uncertain Retirement Part I: Spending Strategies

Financing an Uncertain Retirement Part I: Spending Strategies

Executive Summary

  • Real-world retirees exhibit several behaviors that conflict with the predictions of canonical retirement income models. Often, this is presented as evidence of irrational behavior on the part of retirees.
  • This paper, the first in a two-part series, takes a different approach. A key component of retirement is uncertainty: We do not know how long assets must last or even how much we will have to spend.
  • Uncertain future spending needs dramatically alter the results of typical retirement income models and generate predictions that more closely reflect real-world behaviors.

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