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Economic and Market Commentary

Calculating the Active Advantage in Fixed Income

Reevaluating passive bond allocations – which have historically underperformed active strategies – may open the door to improved investment outcomes.
Calculating the Active Advantage in Fixed Income
Calculating the Active Advantage in Fixed Income
Headshot of Marc Seidner
Headshot of Mohit Mittal
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Don’t leave money on the table. It’s a central tenet of investing to seek the most from every opportunity and not settle for less than you could potentially earn.

Investors in passive fixed income allocations have been leaving money on the table.

Passive investing has grown in popularity ever since the first S&P 500 index-tracking fund launched in the 1970s. Many investors have been drawn into passive fixed income allocations, such as index-tracking funds, amid a common refrain that passive is better because it costs less. But in fixed income, the numbers tell a different story: The myth that active managers can’t beat the market after fees is demonstrably false in bonds. Passive fixed income investors pay less and may get less.

Back in 2017, PIMCO published “Bonds Are Different: Active Versus Passive Management in 12 Points.” The publication showed that a majority of active bond funds and exchange-traded funds (ETFs) beat their median passive peers after fees over a variety of time periods. Given everything that’s happened since 2017, we thought we would revisit that thesis to quantify how it has held up.

Let’s look at some hard data, focusing on the true apples-to-apples comparison: net-of fee returns. Our analysis, spanning two decades, shows that Active Bond Funds in general have outperformed their passive counterparts in 64% of the rolling 10-year periods examined (see Figure 1). PIMCO’s Active Bond Funds have fared even better, with a 79% success rate. Both measures are well above the 43% rate of Active Equity Funds beating their passive peers:

Figure 1: Active fixed income has a long-term record of outperformance

Figure 1 illustrates that active bond strategies have historically delivered more outperformance than active equity strategies over rolling 10-year periods from September 2005-September 2025. The first of two bar charts shows that PIMCO bond funds outperformed their median passive peers in 79% of rolling 10-year periods, while all active bond funds did so 64% of the time and all active equity funds only 43%. The second chart, looking at average excess return over the same periods, shows PIMCO bond funds recorded 66 basis points (bps) of excess return, versus 29 bps for active bonds and -28 bps for active equity funds.

Source: PIMCO and Morningstar as of 30 September 2025. Past performance is not a guarantee or a reliable indicator of future results.

Active outperformance compares the performance of actively managed funds (net of fee) versus the median passive peer (net of fees) over 10 year periods. The average magnitude of outperformance over the 10 year periods is annualized.

“PIMCO Bond Funds” represents all PIMCO mutual funds and active ETFs in the Morningstar U.S. Taxable Bond and Municipal Bond Categories. “Active Bond Funds” represents actively managed mutual funds and ETFs in the Morningstar U.S. Taxable Bond and Municipal Bond Categories. “Active Equity Funds” represents actively managed mutual funds and ETFs in the Morningstar U.S. category groups of U.S. Equity, International Equity, Sector Equity, and Nontraditional Equity. PIMCO Bond Funds average annual outperformance is calculated at net asset value. Performance does not take into account the maximum initial sales charge and would be lower if it did. The net returns of Active Bond Funds, Active Equity Funds, and PIMCO Bond Funds were compared against the median net returns of passive peers in each 10-year rolling period between 30 September 2005 and 30 September 2025 when both the funds being analyzed and the passive peers were present. Passive peers are mutual funds and ETFs classified as an “index fund” or an “enhanced index fund” in the same Morningstar category as the funds being analyzed. Oldest share class net returns are used for analysis. Results would vary if a different share class was selected. Different fund types (e.g. ETFs, open-end investment companies) and fund share classes are subject to different fees and expenses, which may affect performance, have different investment objectives, may have different minimum investment requirements, and may be entitled to different services.

Again, that analysis spans two decades – from a financial crisis to a pandemic, from the 10-year Treasury yield reaching its all-time low to an inflation spike to a generational reset higher in bond yields, from bear to bull markets and everything in between. Across that vast variety of conditions, active management in fixed income outperformed passive on average.

Yes, active management costs more – typically about 35 basis points (bps) more across the five largest Morningstar fixed income categories by assets under management, as of 30 September 2025. But when active management is generating more than that in terms of alpha, or outperformance versus the broad market, the math is simple. Net-of-fees, active fixed income can deliver improved returns.

Market inefficiencies create active opportunities

Passive fixed income investing has a poor track record in part due to bond market quirks that favor active management. For example, almost half of the global bond market consists of investors such as central banks, insurance companies, and commercial banks that operate with unique objectives and constraints.

Many of these investors seek beta, or broad-based market exposure, rather than alpha. Their primary mandates – think currency management, regulatory capital, or book yield – can create persistent market inefficiencies. For example, when passive funds are locked into following periodic index rebalancing rules, market prices move, allowing active managers to anticipate, act, and seek to profit.

The complexity of bond markets makes index replication challenging. Unlike equities, bonds mature, creating constant turnover. Bond indexes also assign the highest weights to issuers with the most debt outstanding, not necessarily those with the best economic value. Passive managers often hold less than half the index, leading to tracking error.

New bond issues are often priced at a discount to attract buyers, and active managers can look for these opportunities. Structural alpha, sought by identifying repeatable market inefficiencies, is a key tool for active management outperformance.

PIMCO has an established track record across multiple fixed income categories (see Figure 2).

Figure 2: Growth of $100 since inception across PIMCO active strategies and investment categories

Average annual returns (% after fees)
as of 30 September 2025
Inception date S.I. 10yr 5yr 3yr 1yr

PIMCO Short-Term Fund

7 October 1987

4.06

2.86

3.23

5.65

5.30

FTSE 3-Month Treasury Bill Index

3.07

2.12

3.10

4.98

4.61

PIMCO Total Return Fund

11 May 1987

6.25

2.44

0.18

6.06

4.36

Bloomberg US Aggregate Index

5.39

1.84

-0.45

4.93

2.88

PIMCO Income Fund

30 March 2007

6.89

4.88

4.28

8.87

7.24

Bloomberg US Aggregate Index

3.14

1.84

-0.45

4.93

2.88

PIMCO Dynamic Bond Fund

30 June 2008

3.84

3.92

3.29

7.73

8.16

ICEBofA SOFR Overnight Rate Index

1.60

2.34

3.17

4.95

4.58

Performance quoted represents past performance. Past performance is not a guarantee or a reliable indicator of future results. Investment return and the principal value of an investment will fluctuate. Shares may be worth more or less than original cost when redeemed. Current performance may be lower or higher than performance shown. For performance current to the most recent month-end, visit www.PIMCO.com or call (888) 87-PIMCO.

As of 31 October 2025, unless stated otherwise. Source: PIMCO, Morningstar. The charts shown represent flagship funds of the four main strategies that comprise PIMCO’s Multisector Fixed Income platform. Performance is shown for the institutional Class shares. Inception Date: 10/07/1987, 05/11/1987, 03/30/2007 and 06/30/2008 for PIMCO Short-Term Fund, PIMCO Total Return Fund, PIMCO Income Fund and PIMCO Dynamic Bond Fund, respectively. All periods longer than one year are annualized. Periods less than one year are cumulative. Growth of $100 is calculated at NAV and assumes that all dividend and capital gain distributions were reinvested. It does not take into account sales charges or the effect of taxes. Results are not indicative of future performance.

Gross Expense Ratio: 0.49%, 0.53%, 0.54% and 0.84%; Net Expense Ratio: 0.45%, 0.46%, 0.50% and 0.79%, and; Adjusted Expense Ratio: 0.45%, 0.46%, 0.50% and 0.75%, for PIMCO Short-Term Fund, PIMCO Total Return Fund, PIMCO Income Fund and PIMCO Dynamic Bond Fund, respectively. The Net Expense Ratio reflects a contractual fee waiver and/or expense reduction, which is in place through 07/31/2026 and renews automatically for a full year unless terminated by PIMCO in accordance with the terms of the agreement. See the Fund’s prospectus for more information. The Adjusted Expense Ratio excludes certain investment expenses, such as interest expense from borrowings and repurchase agreements and dividend expense from investments on short sales, incurred directly by the Fund or indirectly through the Fund’s investments in underlying PIMCO Funds (if applicable), none of which are paid to PIMCO.

Conclusion: Active investing for improved outcomes

Investors have a variety of goals. Pension funds need liability matching and real returns. Endowments and sovereign wealth funds seek diversification. Individual investors often look for income and diversification from stock-market volatility.

Passive fixed income strategies typically take a one-size-fits-all approach and have a history of underperformance versus their active peers on average. Active management has historically delivered improved after-fee returns, greater flexibility, and customized solutions versus passive peers on average. With today’s robust market liquidity in public fixed income, active managers can shift across sectors, geographies, and maturities – something passive funds simply can’t do.

With starting yields near multi-year highs and geopolitical volatility creating fresh opportunities, now is the time to consider making the switch. Don’t leave money on the table – make your fixed income allocation work harder for you.


Investors should consider the investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses of the funds carefully before investing. This and other information are contained in the fund’s prospectus and summary prospectus, if available, which may be obtained by contacting your investment professional or PIMCO representative or by visiting www.pimco.com. Please read them carefully before you invest or send money.

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